Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus drives trader sentiment toward the 70–75°F range for Chicago’s June 16 high, with 72–73°F and 74–75°F holding the highest implied probabilities at 28% and 26%. Moderate southwesterly flow and limited heat advection from the Plains, combined with potential lake-breeze cooling off Lake Michigan, favor these brackets over warmer outcomes. Ensemble spread remains notable, however, as differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥6月16日最高气温？
芝加哥6月16日最高气温？
72-73°F 34%
74-75°F 22%
70-71°F 19%
68-69°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
63°F或以下
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
34%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
1%
82°F或更高
<1%
72-73°F 34%
74-75°F 22%
70-71°F 19%
68-69°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
63°F或以下
$86 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$21 交易量
2%
66-67°F
$36 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$40 交易量
10%
70-71°F
$11 交易量
19%
72-73°F
$268 交易量
34%
74-75°F
$152 交易量
22%
76-77°F
$5 交易量
7%
78-79°F
$8 交易量
6%
80-81°F
$52 交易量
1%
82°F或更高
$168 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus drives trader sentiment toward the 70–75°F range for Chicago’s June 16 high, with 72–73°F and 74–75°F holding the highest implied probabilities at 28% and 26%. Moderate southwesterly flow and limited heat advection from the Plains, combined with potential lake-breeze cooling off Lake Michigan, favor these brackets over warmer outcomes. Ensemble spread remains notable, however, as differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$809结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus drives trader sentiment toward the 70–75°F range for Chicago’s June 16 high, with 72–73°F and 74–75°F holding the highest implied probabilities at 28% and 26%. Moderate southwesterly flow and limited heat advection from the Plains, combined with potential lake-breeze cooling off Lake Michigan, favor these brackets over warmer outcomes. Ensemble spread remains notable, however, as differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$809结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus drives trader sentiment toward the 70–75°F range for Chicago’s June 16 high, with 72–73°F and 74–75°F holding the highest implied probabilities at 28% and 26%. Moderate southwesterly flow and limited heat advection from the Plains, combined with potential lake-breeze cooling off Lake Michigan, favor these brackets over warmer outcomes. Ensemble spread remains notable, however, as differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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