Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles currently favor a Chicago high temperature in the mid-70s on June 15, aligning with the market's leading 76-77°F outcome at 38.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects a moderating airmass after early-June warmth, with typical mid-month steering patterns and Lake Michigan's cooling influence keeping readings near or slightly below the 80.5°F climatological normal. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of short-range guidance showing 74-77°F against minor upside risks from any delayed warm advection. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings ahead of the 24-hour forecast window remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities among the tightly clustered central outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
76-77°F 39%
74-75°F 27%
78-79°F 16%
72-73°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 39%
74-75°F 27%
78-79°F 16%
72-73°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
65°F或以下
$223 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$269 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$140 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$560 交易量
4%
72-73°F
$606 交易量
9%
74-75°F
$407 交易量
27%
76-77°F
$301 交易量
39%
78-79°F
$290 交易量
16%
80-81°F
$196 交易量
4%
82-83°F
$409 交易量
1%
84°F or higher
$676 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles currently favor a Chicago high temperature in the mid-70s on June 15, aligning with the market's leading 76-77°F outcome at 38.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects a moderating airmass after early-June warmth, with typical mid-month steering patterns and Lake Michigan's cooling influence keeping readings near or slightly below the 80.5°F climatological normal. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of short-range guidance showing 74-77°F against minor upside risks from any delayed warm advection. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings ahead of the 24-hour forecast window remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities among the tightly clustered central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$4,071结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles currently favor a Chicago high temperature in the mid-70s on June 15, aligning with the market's leading 76-77°F outcome at 38.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects a moderating airmass after early-June warmth, with typical mid-month steering patterns and Lake Michigan's cooling influence keeping readings near or slightly below the 80.5°F climatological normal. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of short-range guidance showing 74-77°F against minor upside risks from any delayed warm advection. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings ahead of the 24-hour forecast window remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities among the tightly clustered central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,071结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles currently favor a Chicago high temperature in the mid-70s on June 15, aligning with the market's leading 76-77°F outcome at 38.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects a moderating airmass after early-June warmth, with typical mid-month steering patterns and Lake Michigan's cooling influence keeping readings near or slightly below the 80.5°F climatological normal. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of short-range guidance showing 74-77°F against minor upside risks from any delayed warm advection. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings ahead of the 24-hour forecast window remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities among the tightly clustered central outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题