Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a high near 18°C for São Paulo on June 16, driven by overcast skies, light drizzle, and a stable winter air mass typical of the Southern Hemisphere dry season. These conditions limit daytime warming compared to clearer scenarios, aligning with climatological averages around 20–22°C but tempered by recent cool advection and high humidity. The tight clustering of market-implied odds at 18–20°C reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance, where small shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns could tip the maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the clearest resolution signals before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月16日圣保罗的最高温度?
19°C 32%
20°C 31%
18°C 24%
21°C 5.6%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
24%
19°C
32%
20°C
31%
21°C
6%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
1%
19°C 32%
20°C 31%
18°C 24%
21°C 5.6%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
24%
19°C
32%
20°C
31%
21°C
6%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a high near 18°C for São Paulo on June 16, driven by overcast skies, light drizzle, and a stable winter air mass typical of the Southern Hemisphere dry season. These conditions limit daytime warming compared to clearer scenarios, aligning with climatological averages around 20–22°C but tempered by recent cool advection and high humidity. The tight clustering of market-implied odds at 18–20°C reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance, where small shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns could tip the maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the clearest resolution signals before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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