Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate a winter pattern dominated by cooler air masses and increasing cloud cover, keeping the June 15 maximum temperature likely between 17–19°C as reflected in trader-implied odds. A series of cold fronts and contrasting climatic conditions across the second week of June have suppressed daytime warming, with recent days recording highs near 19°C and models showing limited solar heating amid possible light rain. These factors align with typical June climatology of 21–22°C averages while favoring the lower end of the distribution, though any clearing skies or delayed frontal passage could allow brief warming toward 20°C. Updated regional model runs and official monitoring from Brazilian meteorological agencies will refine resolution criteria over the next 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日圣保罗的最高温度?
18°C 42%
19°C 31%
17°C 20%
20°C 5.9%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
4%
17°C
20%
18°C
42%
19°C
31%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 42%
19°C 31%
17°C 20%
20°C 5.9%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
4%
17°C
20%
18°C
42%
19°C
31%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate a winter pattern dominated by cooler air masses and increasing cloud cover, keeping the June 15 maximum temperature likely between 17–19°C as reflected in trader-implied odds. A series of cold fronts and contrasting climatic conditions across the second week of June have suppressed daytime warming, with recent days recording highs near 19°C and models showing limited solar heating amid possible light rain. These factors align with typical June climatology of 21–22°C averages while favoring the lower end of the distribution, though any clearing skies or delayed frontal passage could allow brief warming toward 20°C. Updated regional model runs and official monitoring from Brazilian meteorological agencies will refine resolution criteria over the next 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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