Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicate Beijing's June 15 high will likely reach 29–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light winds and no strong frontal systems. This aligns with trader consensus, as June's climatological average high near 30°C reflects seasonal solar heating in Beijing's temperate continental climate, tempered by moderate humidity and stable high-pressure influence. Recent days have shown consistent warming without extreme heat advection or precipitation cooling, keeping probabilities concentrated on 28–30°C outcomes while lower odds for 32°C+ reflect limited potential for rapid intensification absent major model shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on June 15?
29°C 36%
30°C 26%
28°C 19%
31°C 12%
$28,145 交易量
$28,145 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
19%
29°C
36%
30°C
26%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
30°C 26%
28°C 19%
31°C 12%
$28,145 交易量
$28,145 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
19%
29°C
36%
30°C
26%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicate Beijing's June 15 high will likely reach 29–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light winds and no strong frontal systems. This aligns with trader consensus, as June's climatological average high near 30°C reflects seasonal solar heating in Beijing's temperate continental climate, tempered by moderate humidity and stable high-pressure influence. Recent days have shown consistent warming without extreme heat advection or precipitation cooling, keeping probabilities concentrated on 28–30°C outcomes while lower odds for 32°C+ reflect limited potential for rapid intensification absent major model shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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