Recent short-term forecasts for Shanghai on June 15 cluster around daily maxima of 25–27°C, reflecting typical early-summer Yangtze River Delta conditions with moderate diurnal heating under variable cloud cover and light easterly flow from the East Asian monsoon. Trader sentiment favors 24–26°C because afternoon convection and boundary-layer moisture introduce the main uncertainty, as differing model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show limited overall spread but notable variations in timing and intensity of showers that can cap peak temperatures. Overcast skies and potential thundery activity further differentiate the closely matched probabilities by modulating solar insolation and evaporative cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
25°C 32%
26°C 25%
24°C 24%
27°C 14%
$21,731 交易量
$21,731 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
24%
25°C
32%
26°C
25%
27°C
14%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 32%
26°C 25%
24°C 24%
27°C 14%
$21,731 交易量
$21,731 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
24%
25°C
32%
26°C
25%
27°C
14%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-term forecasts for Shanghai on June 15 cluster around daily maxima of 25–27°C, reflecting typical early-summer Yangtze River Delta conditions with moderate diurnal heating under variable cloud cover and light easterly flow from the East Asian monsoon. Trader sentiment favors 24–26°C because afternoon convection and boundary-layer moisture introduce the main uncertainty, as differing model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show limited overall spread but notable variations in timing and intensity of showers that can cap peak temperatures. Overcast skies and potential thundery activity further differentiate the closely matched probabilities by modulating solar insolation and evaporative cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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