**Trader sentiment centers on the narrow spread between 26°C and 27°C maxima because current ensemble guidance and observational trends point to a modest peak under persistent cloud cover typical of Shanghai’s early-June meiyu (plum-rain) regime.** Official short-range models and extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather show daytime highs clustered near 25–28 °C (77–82 °F), with widespread overcast skies, light easterly flow, and scattered showers expected to limit insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical climatology for mid-June places the average maximum around 27–28 °C, but the current moist boundary layer and lack of strong southerly advection keep the distribution tightly centered on the 26–27 °C outcomes that together command over 60 % of market-implied probability. Any clearing or delayed rainfall could push the daily high to 28 °C, while thicker stratiform clouds or earlier showers would favor 25 °C or lower, explaining why the market remains finely balanced ahead of the final model runs on 15–16 June.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
26°C 32%
27°C 31%
25°C 14%
28°C 12.3%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
14%
26°C
32%
27°C
31%
28°C
12%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 32%
27°C 31%
25°C 14%
28°C 12.3%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
20°C or below
$122 交易量
<1%
21°C
$18 交易量
<1%
22°C
$167 交易量
1%
23°C
$371 交易量
1%
24°C
$158 交易量
9%
25°C
$257 交易量
14%
26°C
$63 交易量
32%
27°C
$184 交易量
31%
28°C
$583 交易量
12%
29°C
$475 交易量
2%
30°C or higher
$245 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on the narrow spread between 26°C and 27°C maxima because current ensemble guidance and observational trends point to a modest peak under persistent cloud cover typical of Shanghai’s early-June meiyu (plum-rain) regime.** Official short-range models and extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather show daytime highs clustered near 25–28 °C (77–82 °F), with widespread overcast skies, light easterly flow, and scattered showers expected to limit insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical climatology for mid-June places the average maximum around 27–28 °C, but the current moist boundary layer and lack of strong southerly advection keep the distribution tightly centered on the 26–27 °C outcomes that together command over 60 % of market-implied probability. Any clearing or delayed rainfall could push the daily high to 28 °C, while thicker stratiform clouds or earlier showers would favor 25 °C or lower, explaining why the market remains finely balanced ahead of the final model runs on 15–16 June.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,604结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on the narrow spread between 26°C and 27°C maxima because current ensemble guidance and observational trends point to a modest peak under persistent cloud cover typical of Shanghai’s early-June meiyu (plum-rain) regime.** Official short-range models and extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather show daytime highs clustered near 25–28 °C (77–82 °F), with widespread overcast skies, light easterly flow, and scattered showers expected to limit insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical climatology for mid-June places the average maximum around 27–28 °C, but the current moist boundary layer and lack of strong southerly advection keep the distribution tightly centered on the 26–27 °C outcomes that together command over 60 % of market-implied probability. Any clearing or delayed rainfall could push the daily high to 28 °C, while thicker stratiform clouds or earlier showers would favor 25 °C or lower, explaining why the market remains finely balanced ahead of the final model runs on 15–16 June.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,604结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET**Trader sentiment centers on the narrow spread between 26°C and 27°C maxima because current ensemble guidance and observational trends point to a modest peak under persistent cloud cover typical of Shanghai’s early-June meiyu (plum-rain) regime.** Official short-range models and extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather show daytime highs clustered near 25–28 °C (77–82 °F), with widespread overcast skies, light easterly flow, and scattered showers expected to limit insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical climatology for mid-June places the average maximum around 27–28 °C, but the current moist boundary layer and lack of strong southerly advection keep the distribution tightly centered on the 26–27 °C outcomes that together command over 60 % of market-implied probability. Any clearing or delayed rainfall could push the daily high to 28 °C, while thicker stratiform clouds or earlier showers would favor 25 °C or lower, explaining why the market remains finely balanced ahead of the final model runs on 15–16 June.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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