Latest ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models place Amsterdam's June 18 maximum temperature near the 27–28 °C threshold, with modest spread arising from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and low-level advection. A weak ridge and southerly flow are expected to import slightly warmer continental air, while North Sea proximity and possible afternoon sea-breeze development introduce cooling that keeps the outcome finely balanced. Limited diurnal cloud cover will allow strong insolation, yet modest wind speeds limit turbulent mixing and urban heat-island amplification. Updated model runs and observational adjustments in the final 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 18?
27°C 38%
28°C 35%
26°C 13%
29°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
13%
27°C
38%
28°C
35%
29°C
12%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
28°C 35%
26°C 13%
29°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
21°C or below
$289 交易量
<1%
22°C
$290 交易量
<1%
23°C
$461 交易量
<1%
24°C
$329 交易量
<1%
25°C
$304 交易量
1%
26°C
$859 交易量
13%
27°C
$608 交易量
38%
28°C
$586 交易量
35%
29°C
$523 交易量
12%
30°C
$372 交易量
2%
31°C or higher
$279 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models place Amsterdam's June 18 maximum temperature near the 27–28 °C threshold, with modest spread arising from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and low-level advection. A weak ridge and southerly flow are expected to import slightly warmer continental air, while North Sea proximity and possible afternoon sea-breeze development introduce cooling that keeps the outcome finely balanced. Limited diurnal cloud cover will allow strong insolation, yet modest wind speeds limit turbulent mixing and urban heat-island amplification. Updated model runs and observational adjustments in the final 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
交易量
$4,887结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 1:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models place Amsterdam's June 18 maximum temperature near the 27–28 °C threshold, with modest spread arising from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and low-level advection. A weak ridge and southerly flow are expected to import slightly warmer continental air, while North Sea proximity and possible afternoon sea-breeze development introduce cooling that keeps the outcome finely balanced. Limited diurnal cloud cover will allow strong insolation, yet modest wind speeds limit turbulent mixing and urban heat-island amplification. Updated model runs and observational adjustments in the final 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,887结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 1:11 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models place Amsterdam's June 18 maximum temperature near the 27–28 °C threshold, with modest spread arising from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and low-level advection. A weak ridge and southerly flow are expected to import slightly warmer continental air, while North Sea proximity and possible afternoon sea-breeze development introduce cooling that keeps the outcome finely balanced. Limited diurnal cloud cover will allow strong insolation, yet modest wind speeds limit turbulent mixing and urban heat-island amplification. Updated model runs and observational adjustments in the final 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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