Recent short-term forecasts from Metservice and Met Office indicate Wellington highs near 13–15°C on June 18, driven by developing northwesterlies that favor mild advection over typical winter cooling. Seasonal NIWA outlooks for April–June 2026 assign the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with historical June maxima of 12–13°C and limited variability from passing fronts. The market's emphasis on 14°C reflects trader weighting of these model consensus runs and the low likelihood of strong southerly outbreaks in the current pattern, while uncertainty in exact frontal timing keeps 13°C and 15°C as viable alternatives. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on June 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 18?
14°C 51%
15°C 23%
13°C 22%
12°C 3.1%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
22%
14°C
51%
15°C
23%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 51%
15°C 23%
13°C 22%
12°C 3.1%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
8°C or below
$289 交易量
<1%
9°C
$129 交易量
<1%
10°C
$164 交易量
1%
11°C
$248 交易量
1%
12°C
$134 交易量
3%
13°C
$439 交易量
22%
14°C
$218 交易量
51%
15°C
$1,082 交易量
23%
16°C
$508 交易量
3%
17°C
$152 交易量
1%
18°C or higher
$218 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from Metservice and Met Office indicate Wellington highs near 13–15°C on June 18, driven by developing northwesterlies that favor mild advection over typical winter cooling. Seasonal NIWA outlooks for April–June 2026 assign the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with historical June maxima of 12–13°C and limited variability from passing fronts. The market's emphasis on 14°C reflects trader weighting of these model consensus runs and the low likelihood of strong southerly outbreaks in the current pattern, while uncertainty in exact frontal timing keeps 13°C and 15°C as viable alternatives. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$2,567结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from Metservice and Met Office indicate Wellington highs near 13–15°C on June 18, driven by developing northwesterlies that favor mild advection over typical winter cooling. Seasonal NIWA outlooks for April–June 2026 assign the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with historical June maxima of 12–13°C and limited variability from passing fronts. The market's emphasis on 14°C reflects trader weighting of these model consensus runs and the low likelihood of strong southerly outbreaks in the current pattern, while uncertainty in exact frontal timing keeps 13°C and 15°C as viable alternatives. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,567结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETRecent short-term forecasts from Metservice and Met Office indicate Wellington highs near 13–15°C on June 18, driven by developing northwesterlies that favor mild advection over typical winter cooling. Seasonal NIWA outlooks for April–June 2026 assign the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with historical June maxima of 12–13°C and limited variability from passing fronts. The market's emphasis on 14°C reflects trader weighting of these model consensus runs and the low likelihood of strong southerly outbreaks in the current pattern, while uncertainty in exact frontal timing keeps 13°C and 15°C as viable alternatives. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题