Short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to partly cloudy skies over Tokyo on June 16, with daytime maxima most likely between 25–27 °C as the Pacific High begins to strengthen and draw warmer air northward during the tail end of the tsuyu rainy season. Trader consensus clusters around these values because model runs differ mainly on cloud cover and the precise timing of any lingering showers; thicker clouds or brief rain can suppress the daily peak by 1–2 °C through reduced solar heating, while clearer intervals allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the range. Historical June averages near 26 °C and the seasonal forecast for above-normal warmth provide additional context, yet uncertainty in the 48-hour window keeps the 25 °C, 26 °C, and 27 °C outcomes closely bunched.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
26°C 36%
27°C 29%
25°C 21%
28°C 10%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
21%
26°C
36%
27°C
29%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C或更高
1%
26°C 36%
27°C 29%
25°C 21%
28°C 10%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
21%
26°C
36%
27°C
29%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to partly cloudy skies over Tokyo on June 16, with daytime maxima most likely between 25–27 °C as the Pacific High begins to strengthen and draw warmer air northward during the tail end of the tsuyu rainy season. Trader consensus clusters around these values because model runs differ mainly on cloud cover and the precise timing of any lingering showers; thicker clouds or brief rain can suppress the daily peak by 1–2 °C through reduced solar heating, while clearer intervals allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the range. Historical June averages near 26 °C and the seasonal forecast for above-normal warmth provide additional context, yet uncertainty in the 48-hour window keeps the 25 °C, 26 °C, and 27 °C outcomes closely bunched.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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