Recent South African Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a partly cloudy, cool day for Cape Town on June 18 with a maximum near 18°C, consistent with the seasonal average high of 17–18°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter. A surface high-pressure system following earlier cut-off lows is suppressing significant warming or widespread rain, keeping temperatures within the typical 14–22°C historical range for the month. Trader positioning, with 18–20°C outcomes holding over 80% combined implied probability, aligns with this stable pattern and the low likelihood of anomalous heat or stronger cooling from Atlantic fronts in the short term. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine any minor shifts from cloud cover or wind.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 18?
19°C 39%
18°C 22%
20°C 21%
21°C 5.9%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
6%
18°C
22%
19°C
39%
20°C
21%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 39%
18°C 22%
20°C 21%
21°C 5.9%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
6%
18°C
22%
19°C
39%
20°C
21%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 16, 2026, 1:13 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent South African Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a partly cloudy, cool day for Cape Town on June 18 with a maximum near 18°C, consistent with the seasonal average high of 17–18°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter. A surface high-pressure system following earlier cut-off lows is suppressing significant warming or widespread rain, keeping temperatures within the typical 14–22°C historical range for the month. Trader positioning, with 18–20°C outcomes holding over 80% combined implied probability, aligns with this stable pattern and the low likelihood of anomalous heat or stronger cooling from Atlantic fronts in the short term. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine any minor shifts from cloud cover or wind.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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