Recent IMD forecasts position Lucknow's June 18 maximum near 42°C under mainly clear skies and minimal moisture, driven by persistent pre-monsoon high-pressure patterns and strong solar insolation across the Indo-Gangetic plain. Official observations on June 16 reached 40.1°C, aligning with a broader heatwave trend before typical monsoon onset brings humidity and cloud cover that can suppress daytime peaks. Model consensus from multiple sources shows limited disagreement on sustained westerly flow limiting early rainfall, though any shift in steering patterns or localized convection could trim highs by 1–3°C. Traders appear to weigh this uncertainty against climatological June averages near 40°C, concentrating implied probability around 38–40°C while acknowledging that revised IMD guidance or fresh observational data could quickly reprice outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月18日勒克瑙的最高温度?
39°C 39%
38°C 21%
40°C 20%
37°C 9%
32°C或以下
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
9%
38°C
21%
39°C
39%
40°C
20%
41°C
8%
42°C及以上
2%
39°C 39%
38°C 21%
40°C 20%
37°C 9%
32°C或以下
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
9%
38°C
21%
39°C
39%
40°C
20%
41°C
8%
42°C及以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent IMD forecasts position Lucknow's June 18 maximum near 42°C under mainly clear skies and minimal moisture, driven by persistent pre-monsoon high-pressure patterns and strong solar insolation across the Indo-Gangetic plain. Official observations on June 16 reached 40.1°C, aligning with a broader heatwave trend before typical monsoon onset brings humidity and cloud cover that can suppress daytime peaks. Model consensus from multiple sources shows limited disagreement on sustained westerly flow limiting early rainfall, though any shift in steering patterns or localized convection could trim highs by 1–3°C. Traders appear to weigh this uncertainty against climatological June averages near 40°C, concentrating implied probability around 38–40°C while acknowledging that revised IMD guidance or fresh observational data could quickly reprice outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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