Latest meteorological model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures for Istanbul on June 18, with most solutions clustering between 23–24°C under moderate westerly flow and limited cloud cover. This positioning stems from typical early-summer diurnal heating patterns over the Bosporus region, where sea-breeze moderation and urban heat-island effects create small but decisive differences in peak readings. Historical June climatology places average highs near 25°C, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture appear to cap extremes, producing the tight 34.5%–32% market split between the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the remaining uncertainty before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
24°C 35%
23°C 32%
25°C 17%
22°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
32%
24°C
35%
25°C
17%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 35%
23°C 32%
25°C 17%
22°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
19°C or below
$145 交易量
<1%
20°C
$145 交易量
1%
21°C
$30 交易量
1%
22°C
$0 交易量
7%
23°C
$89 交易量
32%
24°C
$104 交易量
35%
25°C
$266 交易量
17%
26°C
$116 交易量
5%
27°C
$167 交易量
<1%
28°C
$70 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$235 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures for Istanbul on June 18, with most solutions clustering between 23–24°C under moderate westerly flow and limited cloud cover. This positioning stems from typical early-summer diurnal heating patterns over the Bosporus region, where sea-breeze moderation and urban heat-island effects create small but decisive differences in peak readings. Historical June climatology places average highs near 25°C, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture appear to cap extremes, producing the tight 34.5%–32% market split between the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the remaining uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ET
交易量
$1,367结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures for Istanbul on June 18, with most solutions clustering between 23–24°C under moderate westerly flow and limited cloud cover. This positioning stems from typical early-summer diurnal heating patterns over the Bosporus region, where sea-breeze moderation and urban heat-island effects create small but decisive differences in peak readings. Historical June climatology places average highs near 25°C, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture appear to cap extremes, producing the tight 34.5%–32% market split between the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the remaining uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,367结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures for Istanbul on June 18, with most solutions clustering between 23–24°C under moderate westerly flow and limited cloud cover. This positioning stems from typical early-summer diurnal heating patterns over the Bosporus region, where sea-breeze moderation and urban heat-island effects create small but decisive differences in peak readings. Historical June climatology places average highs near 25°C, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture appear to cap extremes, producing the tight 34.5%–32% market split between the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the remaining uncertainty before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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