Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 18 will most likely reach 30–31°C, reflecting typical early-summer conditions in the Sichuan basin where daytime radiative heating competes with monsoon moisture. Subtle differences in cloud cover, humidity levels, and afternoon convection—driven by regional pressure patterns—account for the tight clustering around these values, as clearer skies could allow brief peaks near 31°C while scattered showers or thicker cloud would limit maxima to 30°C. Model spreads remain modest given the short lead time, with official guidance highlighting low-to-moderate wind and dew points near 20°C that moderate extreme heat potential. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 18?
31°C 28%
30°C 26%
29°C 16%
32°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
16%
30°C
26%
31°C
28%
32°C
15%
33°C
7%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 28%
30°C 26%
29°C 16%
32°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
26°C or below
$474 交易量
<1%
27°C
$245 交易量
1%
28°C
$312 交易量
8%
29°C
$495 交易量
16%
30°C
$570 交易量
26%
31°C
$904 交易量
28%
32°C
$452 交易量
15%
33°C
$216 交易量
7%
34°C
$527 交易量
1%
35°C
$200 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$964 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 18 will most likely reach 30–31°C, reflecting typical early-summer conditions in the Sichuan basin where daytime radiative heating competes with monsoon moisture. Subtle differences in cloud cover, humidity levels, and afternoon convection—driven by regional pressure patterns—account for the tight clustering around these values, as clearer skies could allow brief peaks near 31°C while scattered showers or thicker cloud would limit maxima to 30°C. Model spreads remain modest given the short lead time, with official guidance highlighting low-to-moderate wind and dew points near 20°C that moderate extreme heat potential. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
交易量
$5,360结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 12:23 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 18 will most likely reach 30–31°C, reflecting typical early-summer conditions in the Sichuan basin where daytime radiative heating competes with monsoon moisture. Subtle differences in cloud cover, humidity levels, and afternoon convection—driven by regional pressure patterns—account for the tight clustering around these values, as clearer skies could allow brief peaks near 31°C while scattered showers or thicker cloud would limit maxima to 30°C. Model spreads remain modest given the short lead time, with official guidance highlighting low-to-moderate wind and dew points near 20°C that moderate extreme heat potential. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,360结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 12:23 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 18 will most likely reach 30–31°C, reflecting typical early-summer conditions in the Sichuan basin where daytime radiative heating competes with monsoon moisture. Subtle differences in cloud cover, humidity levels, and afternoon convection—driven by regional pressure patterns—account for the tight clustering around these values, as clearer skies could allow brief peaks near 31°C while scattered showers or thicker cloud would limit maxima to 30°C. Model spreads remain modest given the short lead time, with official guidance highlighting low-to-moderate wind and dew points near 20°C that moderate extreme heat potential. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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