Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate afternoon highs likely peaking at 28–30°C on June 17, driven by typical early-summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered convection that limits full solar heating. Ensemble model guidance and climatological baselines near 31°C support the market’s tight clustering around 28–29°C, with rain chances and cloud cover introducing enough variability to keep those two outcomes nearly even. Recent regional patterns of above-normal early-June warmth have been tempered by persistent southern rainfall, reducing the probability of 31°C or higher while leaving lower outcomes unlikely absent stronger suppression. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日深圳气温最高？
6月17日深圳气温最高？
28°C 33%
29°C 22%
27°C 16%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-06-17
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
33%
29°C
22%
30°C
16%
31°C
10%
32°C
5%
33°C或更高
3%
28°C 33%
29°C 22%
27°C 16%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-06-17
23°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
24°C
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$0 交易量
5%
27°C
$139 交易量
16%
28°C
$0 交易量
33%
29°C
$3 交易量
22%
30°C
$3 交易量
16%
31°C
$85 交易量
10%
32°C
$208 交易量
5%
33°C或更高
$197 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate afternoon highs likely peaking at 28–30°C on June 17, driven by typical early-summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered convection that limits full solar heating. Ensemble model guidance and climatological baselines near 31°C support the market’s tight clustering around 28–29°C, with rain chances and cloud cover introducing enough variability to keep those two outcomes nearly even. Recent regional patterns of above-normal early-June warmth have been tempered by persistent southern rainfall, reducing the probability of 31°C or higher while leaving lower outcomes unlikely absent stronger suppression. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$503结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate afternoon highs likely peaking at 28–30°C on June 17, driven by typical early-summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered convection that limits full solar heating. Ensemble model guidance and climatological baselines near 31°C support the market’s tight clustering around 28–29°C, with rain chances and cloud cover introducing enough variability to keep those two outcomes nearly even. Recent regional patterns of above-normal early-June warmth have been tempered by persistent southern rainfall, reducing the probability of 31°C or higher while leaving lower outcomes unlikely absent stronger suppression. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$503结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate afternoon highs likely peaking at 28–30°C on June 17, driven by typical early-summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and scattered convection that limits full solar heating. Ensemble model guidance and climatological baselines near 31°C support the market’s tight clustering around 28–29°C, with rain chances and cloud cover introducing enough variability to keep those two outcomes nearly even. Recent regional patterns of above-normal early-June warmth have been tempered by persistent southern rainfall, reducing the probability of 31°C or higher while leaving lower outcomes unlikely absent stronger suppression. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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