Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 15–17°C for London on June 17, with light southwesterly winds and variable cloud limiting radiative cooling and supporting the market's tight split between 16°C and 17°C outcomes. June climatology shows typical lows near 12–14°C under clearer high-pressure setups, but persistent mild Atlantic flow and limited nocturnal decoupling have kept ensemble guidance warmer. Traders weigh the next high-resolution UKV update and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind shear that could alter the exact minimum by 1°C. Resolution hinges on the official Met Office station reading, where small forecast adjustments often decide between these closely matched probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日伦敦最低气温?
17°C 43%
16°C 39%
18°C 5%
14°C 4%
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
39%
17°C
43%
18°C
5%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C或更高
<1%
17°C 43%
16°C 39%
18°C 5%
14°C 4%
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
39%
17°C
43%
18°C
5%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 15–17°C for London on June 17, with light southwesterly winds and variable cloud limiting radiative cooling and supporting the market's tight split between 16°C and 17°C outcomes. June climatology shows typical lows near 12–14°C under clearer high-pressure setups, but persistent mild Atlantic flow and limited nocturnal decoupling have kept ensemble guidance warmer. Traders weigh the next high-resolution UKV update and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind shear that could alter the exact minimum by 1°C. Resolution hinges on the official Met Office station reading, where small forecast adjustments often decide between these closely matched probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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