Hong Kong's June climatology features typical overnight minima of 26–27°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling under the summer monsoon regime. Short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate persistent cloud cover and showers through June 17, which suppress daytime heating while modestly limiting nighttime temperature drops, keeping the lowest reading near the 25–26°C threshold. Above-normal seasonal temperatures noted in the May HKO outlook reinforce this range, though variable rainfall intensity and local wind patterns could nudge the minimum by 1°C either way. With 25°C and 26°C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, traders are weighing these subtle differences in forecast moisture and boundary-layer mixing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日香港最低气温?
26°C 39%
25°C 39%
27°C 5%
28°C 5%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
5%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
<1%
26°C 39%
25°C 39%
27°C 5%
28°C 5%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
5%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's June climatology features typical overnight minima of 26–27°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling under the summer monsoon regime. Short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate persistent cloud cover and showers through June 17, which suppress daytime heating while modestly limiting nighttime temperature drops, keeping the lowest reading near the 25–26°C threshold. Above-normal seasonal temperatures noted in the May HKO outlook reinforce this range, though variable rainfall intensity and local wind patterns could nudge the minimum by 1°C either way. With 25°C and 26°C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, traders are weighing these subtle differences in forecast moisture and boundary-layer mixing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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