Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF show a warming trend into mid-June, with ensemble guidance centering maximum temperatures in Munich on June 17 around 25–28 °C amid a mix of sunny intervals and light westerly flow. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 26–28 °C because small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Higher outcomes gain modest support from warmer bias in some high-resolution runs, while lower probabilities reflect residual uncertainty in insolation and local urban heat effects. Updated model cycles and official guidance through June 16 will likely refine the distribution before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on June 17?
27°C 35%
26°C 26%
28°C 23%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
9%
26°C
26%
27°C
35%
28°C
23%
29°C
9%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
3%
27°C 35%
26°C 26%
28°C 23%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
9%
26°C
26%
27°C
35%
28°C
23%
29°C
9%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF show a warming trend into mid-June, with ensemble guidance centering maximum temperatures in Munich on June 17 around 25–28 °C amid a mix of sunny intervals and light westerly flow. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 26–28 °C because small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Higher outcomes gain modest support from warmer bias in some high-resolution runs, while lower probabilities reflect residual uncertainty in insolation and local urban heat effects. Updated model cycles and official guidance through June 16 will likely refine the distribution before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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