Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo point to an overnight low near 19°C on June 17, amid persistent tsuyu rainy-season cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling and keeps temperatures clustered in the 17–20°C range. High humidity, moderating sea breezes from the Pacific, and limited diurnal temperature swings typical of mid-June support this outlook against a seasonal baseline around 18–19°C. Trader sentiment, with 19–20°C outcomes holding the highest implied probabilities, reflects model consensus tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud thickness or brief clearing that could nudge the minimum slightly higher or lower by a degree. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日东京最低气温?
20°C 36%
19°C 24%
23°C 20%
18°C 8%
15°C或以下
4%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
8%
19°C
24%
20°C
36%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
20%
24°C
1%
25°C或更高
<1%
20°C 36%
19°C 24%
23°C 20%
18°C 8%
15°C或以下
4%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
8%
19°C
24%
20°C
36%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
20%
24°C
1%
25°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo point to an overnight low near 19°C on June 17, amid persistent tsuyu rainy-season cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling and keeps temperatures clustered in the 17–20°C range. High humidity, moderating sea breezes from the Pacific, and limited diurnal temperature swings typical of mid-June support this outlook against a seasonal baseline around 18–19°C. Trader sentiment, with 19–20°C outcomes holding the highest implied probabilities, reflects model consensus tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud thickness or brief clearing that could nudge the minimum slightly higher or lower by a degree. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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