High-pressure systems over western Europe are sustaining mostly clear skies and subsidence warming across the Paris region, driving trader consensus toward a June 17 maximum near 32–33°C as the leading outcomes with closely matched implied probabilities. Ensemble runs from Météo-France and ECMWF show afternoon peaks in this range under light winds and limited cloud cover, though modest model spread arises from differences in boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux, and any residual moisture advection that could cap or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C. Seasonal signals of above-average warmth for June align with this positioning, while official observational networks will resolve the exact value based on standardized Paris station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on June 17?
32°C 33%
33°C 28%
31°C 19%
30°C 8.5%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
19%
32°C
33%
33°C
28%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
33°C 28%
31°C 19%
30°C 8.5%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
19%
32°C
33%
33°C
28%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
High-pressure systems over western Europe are sustaining mostly clear skies and subsidence warming across the Paris region, driving trader consensus toward a June 17 maximum near 32–33°C as the leading outcomes with closely matched implied probabilities. Ensemble runs from Météo-France and ECMWF show afternoon peaks in this range under light winds and limited cloud cover, though modest model spread arises from differences in boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux, and any residual moisture advection that could cap or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C. Seasonal signals of above-average warmth for June align with this positioning, while official observational networks will resolve the exact value based on standardized Paris station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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