Trader sentiment clusters around 29–31°C for Guangzhou’s June 17 high because ensemble forecasts show modest divergence in the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and associated moisture transport from the South China Sea. Mid-June climatology favors afternoon maxima near 31°C, yet variable low-level convergence and potential for scattered convection can cap temperatures one to two degrees lower on any given day. Urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta add a consistent but small positive bias to official readings. Fresh model guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst that either tightens or shifts the current market-implied distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 17?
30°C 28%
31°C 22%
29°C 20%
28°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-06-17
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
9%
28°C
16%
29°C
20%
30°C
28%
31°C
22%
32°C
11%
33°C or higher
3%
30°C 28%
31°C 22%
29°C 20%
28°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-06-17
23°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
24°C
$0 交易量
<1%
25°C
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$11 交易量
8%
27°C
$0 交易量
9%
28°C
$0 交易量
16%
29°C
$0 交易量
20%
30°C
$1 交易量
28%
31°C
$0 交易量
22%
32°C
$33 交易量
11%
33°C or higher
$104 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters around 29–31°C for Guangzhou’s June 17 high because ensemble forecasts show modest divergence in the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and associated moisture transport from the South China Sea. Mid-June climatology favors afternoon maxima near 31°C, yet variable low-level convergence and potential for scattered convection can cap temperatures one to two degrees lower on any given day. Urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta add a consistent but small positive bias to official readings. Fresh model guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst that either tightens or shifts the current market-implied distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
交易量
$149结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters around 29–31°C for Guangzhou’s June 17 high because ensemble forecasts show modest divergence in the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and associated moisture transport from the South China Sea. Mid-June climatology favors afternoon maxima near 31°C, yet variable low-level convergence and potential for scattered convection can cap temperatures one to two degrees lower on any given day. Urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta add a consistent but small positive bias to official readings. Fresh model guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst that either tightens or shifts the current market-implied distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$149结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETTrader sentiment clusters around 29–31°C for Guangzhou’s June 17 high because ensemble forecasts show modest divergence in the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and associated moisture transport from the South China Sea. Mid-June climatology favors afternoon maxima near 31°C, yet variable low-level convergence and potential for scattered convection can cap temperatures one to two degrees lower on any given day. Urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta add a consistent but small positive bias to official readings. Fresh model guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst that either tightens or shifts the current market-implied distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题