Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a subtropical ridge building over the Yangtze basin, supporting daytime maxima near 31–32°C in Chongqing on June 15 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Ensemble spreads remain tight because limited moisture advection and modest afternoon convection could shave or add 1°C depending on exact timing of any showers. Historical June climatology shows typical highs of 29–30°C, so current guidance reflects warmer-than-average conditions driven by persistent high pressure; traders weigh these model outputs against potential boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects when pricing the narrow gap between the 31°C and 32°C contracts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 15?
32°C 38%
31°C 28%
30°C 20%
33°C 11%
$13,314 交易量
$13,314 交易量
28°C or below
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
20%
31°C
28%
32°C
38%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 28%
30°C 20%
33°C 11%
$13,314 交易量
$13,314 交易量
28°C or below
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
20%
31°C
28%
32°C
38%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a subtropical ridge building over the Yangtze basin, supporting daytime maxima near 31–32°C in Chongqing on June 15 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Ensemble spreads remain tight because limited moisture advection and modest afternoon convection could shave or add 1°C depending on exact timing of any showers. Historical June climatology shows typical highs of 29–30°C, so current guidance reflects warmer-than-average conditions driven by persistent high pressure; traders weigh these model outputs against potential boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects when pricing the narrow gap between the 31°C and 32°C contracts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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