**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Paris on June 17, 2026, centers on 15–16°C as the most probable overnight minimum, with those outcomes holding the highest market-implied probabilities (25–26.5%).** These levels reflect current short-range forecast consensus under building high pressure across northern France, which is producing clear or mostly clear skies and light winds that favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C. Recent developments show a shift from earlier cloudy, showery conditions in mid-June to more stable anticyclonic flow, reducing cloud cover and limiting how far temperatures drop. Historical June climatology for Paris places average overnight lows near 12–14°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal due to the warm air mass in place. Model runs continue to show minor spread in the exact minimum, driven by small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and urban heat-island effects, which explains why 14°C and 17°C retain meaningful probability while extremes remain low. Traders are watching the next updates from Météo-France and global ensembles for any shift in the nocturnal cooling profile before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日巴黎最低气温？
6月17日巴黎最低气温？
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
17°C 20%
14°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-06-17
13°C或以下
3%
14°C
15%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
20%
18°C
5%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或更高
<1%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
17°C 20%
14°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-06-17
13°C或以下
$22 交易量
3%
14°C
$0 交易量
15%
15°C
$0 交易量
26%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
20%
18°C
$8 交易量
5%
19°C
$10 交易量
5%
20°C
$8 交易量
4%
21°C
$45 交易量
1%
22°C
$0 交易量
<1%
23°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Paris on June 17, 2026, centers on 15–16°C as the most probable overnight minimum, with those outcomes holding the highest market-implied probabilities (25–26.5%).** These levels reflect current short-range forecast consensus under building high pressure across northern France, which is producing clear or mostly clear skies and light winds that favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C.
Recent developments show a shift from earlier cloudy, showery conditions in mid-June to more stable anticyclonic flow, reducing cloud cover and limiting how far temperatures drop. Historical June climatology for Paris places average overnight lows near 12–14°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal due to the warm air mass in place. Model runs continue to show minor spread in the exact minimum, driven by small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and urban heat-island effects, which explains why 14°C and 17°C retain meaningful probability while extremes remain low.
Traders are watching the next updates from Météo-France and global ensembles for any shift in the nocturnal cooling profile before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$93结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Paris on June 17, 2026, centers on 15–16°C as the most probable overnight minimum, with those outcomes holding the highest market-implied probabilities (25–26.5%).** These levels reflect current short-range forecast consensus under building high pressure across northern France, which is producing clear or mostly clear skies and light winds that favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C.
Recent developments show a shift from earlier cloudy, showery conditions in mid-June to more stable anticyclonic flow, reducing cloud cover and limiting how far temperatures drop. Historical June climatology for Paris places average overnight lows near 12–14°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal due to the warm air mass in place. Model runs continue to show minor spread in the exact minimum, driven by small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and urban heat-island effects, which explains why 14°C and 17°C retain meaningful probability while extremes remain low.
Traders are watching the next updates from Météo-France and global ensembles for any shift in the nocturnal cooling profile before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$93结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Paris on June 17, 2026, centers on 15–16°C as the most probable overnight minimum, with those outcomes holding the highest market-implied probabilities (25–26.5%).** These levels reflect current short-range forecast consensus under building high pressure across northern France, which is producing clear or mostly clear skies and light winds that favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C. Recent developments show a shift from earlier cloudy, showery conditions in mid-June to more stable anticyclonic flow, reducing cloud cover and limiting how far temperatures drop. Historical June climatology for Paris places average overnight lows near 12–14°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal due to the warm air mass in place. Model runs continue to show minor spread in the exact minimum, driven by small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and urban heat-island effects, which explains why 14°C and 17°C retain meaningful probability while extremes remain low. Traders are watching the next updates from Météo-France and global ensembles for any shift in the nocturnal cooling profile before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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