Recent high-pressure dominance over western Europe has brought clear skies and light winds to Paris, favoring radiational cooling overnight but tempered by above-average daytime warmth near 30°C on June 14. Ensemble guidance from models like ECMWF and Météo-France indicates minimum temperatures clustering near 12–13°C for June 15, consistent with climatological early-summer norms of 11–14°C under similar anticyclonic setups. Minor forecast spreads arise from potential thin cloud increases or subtle wind shifts that could limit cooling, keeping the 12°C and 13°C outcomes closely matched in trader assessments. Météo-France updates through the evening will refine boundary-layer moisture and stability ahead of the overnight period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日巴黎最低气温?
12°C 33%
13°C 30%
11°C 23%
14°C 14%
10°C或以下
2%
11°C
23%
12°C
33%
13°C
30%
14°C
14%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
12°C 33%
13°C 30%
11°C 23%
14°C 14%
10°C或以下
2%
11°C
23%
12°C
33%
13°C
30%
14°C
14%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent high-pressure dominance over western Europe has brought clear skies and light winds to Paris, favoring radiational cooling overnight but tempered by above-average daytime warmth near 30°C on June 14. Ensemble guidance from models like ECMWF and Météo-France indicates minimum temperatures clustering near 12–13°C for June 15, consistent with climatological early-summer norms of 11–14°C under similar anticyclonic setups. Minor forecast spreads arise from potential thin cloud increases or subtle wind shifts that could limit cooling, keeping the 12°C and 13°C outcomes closely matched in trader assessments. Météo-France updates through the evening will refine boundary-layer moisture and stability ahead of the overnight period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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