Weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and global ensembles indicate a building subtropical high over the western Mediterranean, steering warm southerly flow toward the Po Valley and supporting peak temperatures of 32–33°C in Milan on June 17. Primary differentiators among leading outcomes include the precise timing of any diurnal cloud build-up or weak convective showers, which could trim maxima by 1–2°C, versus clear-sky radiative heating amplified by the urban heat island at official measurement sites. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with historical June baselines around 27–28°C underscoring the anomalous warmth; traders closely monitor the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus ARPA Lombardia guidance for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns ahead of the June 17 observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on June 17?
32°C 32%
33°C 28%
34°C 12%
31°C 8%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
32%
33°C
28%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 32%
33°C 28%
34°C 12%
31°C 8%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
32%
33°C
28%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and global ensembles indicate a building subtropical high over the western Mediterranean, steering warm southerly flow toward the Po Valley and supporting peak temperatures of 32–33°C in Milan on June 17. Primary differentiators among leading outcomes include the precise timing of any diurnal cloud build-up or weak convective showers, which could trim maxima by 1–2°C, versus clear-sky radiative heating amplified by the urban heat island at official measurement sites. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with historical June baselines around 27–28°C underscoring the anomalous warmth; traders closely monitor the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus ARPA Lombardia guidance for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns ahead of the June 17 observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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