Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position Milan's June 15 maximum near 30–31 °C, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Persistent high pressure over the western Mediterranean favors clear skies and strong daytime insolation across the Po Valley, while light winds limit mixing and allow the urban heat island to add 1–2 °C in central Milan. Model spreads remain modest, with a few runs showing slightly stronger subsidence and 32 °C peaks if boundary-layer moisture stays low; conversely, any increase in low-level cloud or a modest sea-breeze intrusion would cap readings at 29 °C or below. Official station data from Milan Linate or Malpensa will determine the exact high after 24-hour verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on June 15?
30°C 35%
31°C 35%
32°C 22%
29°C or below 5.0%
$10,022 交易量
$10,022 交易量
29°C or below
5%
30°C
35%
31°C
35%
32°C
22%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 35%
32°C 22%
29°C or below 5.0%
$10,022 交易量
$10,022 交易量
29°C or below
5%
30°C
35%
31°C
35%
32°C
22%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position Milan's June 15 maximum near 30–31 °C, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Persistent high pressure over the western Mediterranean favors clear skies and strong daytime insolation across the Po Valley, while light winds limit mixing and allow the urban heat island to add 1–2 °C in central Milan. Model spreads remain modest, with a few runs showing slightly stronger subsidence and 32 °C peaks if boundary-layer moisture stays low; conversely, any increase in low-level cloud or a modest sea-breeze intrusion would cap readings at 29 °C or below. Official station data from Milan Linate or Malpensa will determine the exact high after 24-hour verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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