Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a peak temperature in Munich of 21–22°C on June 15 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, driving the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities at 38% for 22°C and 32.5% for 21°C. These outcomes reflect modest uncertainty in diurnal heating tied to variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, with 23°C odds at 14.5% capturing the upper tail if clearer conditions materialize. Historical mid-June baselines near 20–22°C provide context, while the absence of strong advection or frontal systems keeps extremes below 10% probability. Traders will monitor updated DWD and ECMWF runs overnight for any shifts in the 24-hour forecast window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on June 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 15?
22°C 38%
21°C 32%
23°C 15%
20°C 6%
最新
$15,125 交易量
最新
$15,125 交易量
2026-06-15
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
32%
22°C
38%
23°C
15%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 38%
21°C 32%
23°C 15%
20°C 6%
最新
$15,125 交易量
最新
$15,125 交易量
2026-06-15
16°C or below
$210 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,049 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,210 交易量
<1%
19°C
$2,729 交易量
1%
20°C
$2,509 交易量
6%
21°C
$1,148 交易量
32%
22°C
$1,344 交易量
38%
23°C
$1,407 交易量
15%
24°C
$579 交易量
4%
25°C
$1,052 交易量
1%
26°C or higher
$2,073 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a peak temperature in Munich of 21–22°C on June 15 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, driving the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities at 38% for 22°C and 32.5% for 21°C. These outcomes reflect modest uncertainty in diurnal heating tied to variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, with 23°C odds at 14.5% capturing the upper tail if clearer conditions materialize. Historical mid-June baselines near 20–22°C provide context, while the absence of strong advection or frontal systems keeps extremes below 10% probability. Traders will monitor updated DWD and ECMWF runs overnight for any shifts in the 24-hour forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
交易量
$15,125结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a peak temperature in Munich of 21–22°C on June 15 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, driving the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities at 38% for 22°C and 32.5% for 21°C. These outcomes reflect modest uncertainty in diurnal heating tied to variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, with 23°C odds at 14.5% capturing the upper tail if clearer conditions materialize. Historical mid-June baselines near 20–22°C provide context, while the absence of strong advection or frontal systems keeps extremes below 10% probability. Traders will monitor updated DWD and ECMWF runs overnight for any shifts in the 24-hour forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,125结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETRecent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a peak temperature in Munich of 21–22°C on June 15 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, driving the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities at 38% for 22°C and 32.5% for 21°C. These outcomes reflect modest uncertainty in diurnal heating tied to variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, with 23°C odds at 14.5% capturing the upper tail if clearer conditions materialize. Historical mid-June baselines near 20–22°C provide context, while the absence of strong advection or frontal systems keeps extremes below 10% probability. Traders will monitor updated DWD and ECMWF runs overnight for any shifts in the 24-hour forecast window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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