Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and BBC Weather show Shenzhen's June 18 high likely reaching 28–29°C under overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms or thundery showers, moderating peak heating compared to clearer conditions. Subtropical monsoon moisture from the South China Sea fuels convective activity and cloud cover, limiting solar insolation while typical early-summer humidity keeps lows near 25–26°C. These patterns align closely with climatological June averages of 30–31°C but reflect short-term steering by regional pressure systems. Trader consensus clusters around 28–29°C as the most probable outcomes given current model agreement, with only modest probability on 30°C if convection weakens. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs ahead of the date could shift these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 18?
29°C 36%
28°C 31%
30°C 17%
27°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
31%
29°C
36%
30°C
17%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
28°C 31%
30°C 17%
27°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
31%
29°C
36%
30°C
17%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and BBC Weather show Shenzhen's June 18 high likely reaching 28–29°C under overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms or thundery showers, moderating peak heating compared to clearer conditions. Subtropical monsoon moisture from the South China Sea fuels convective activity and cloud cover, limiting solar insolation while typical early-summer humidity keeps lows near 25–26°C. These patterns align closely with climatological June averages of 30–31°C but reflect short-term steering by regional pressure systems. Trader consensus clusters around 28–29°C as the most probable outcomes given current model agreement, with only modest probability on 30°C if convection weakens. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs ahead of the date could shift these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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