**Forecast models from the Turkish Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS converge on a June 16 maximum of 28–30°C in Ankara under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow.** This setup favors strong daytime solar heating on the Anatolian plateau, where typical June climatology supports highs of 26–29°C. The near-even split between the 28°C and 29°C outcomes reflects small but decisive uncertainties in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and any residual moisture that could trim peak temperatures by 1°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, keeping lower or higher buckets at low implied probability while traders weigh the final observed reading against official station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月16日安卡拉的最高温度?
28°C 36%
29°C 34%
27°C 16%
30°C 5.8%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
36%
29°C
34%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
28°C 36%
29°C 34%
27°C 16%
30°C 5.8%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
36%
29°C
34%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models from the Turkish Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS converge on a June 16 maximum of 28–30°C in Ankara under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow.** This setup favors strong daytime solar heating on the Anatolian plateau, where typical June climatology supports highs of 26–29°C. The near-even split between the 28°C and 29°C outcomes reflects small but decisive uncertainties in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and any residual moisture that could trim peak temperatures by 1°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, keeping lower or higher buckets at low implied probability while traders weigh the final observed reading against official station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题