Current forecast models for Ankara on June 15, 2026, center on a high near 25–26°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's top-implied outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer climatology for the region’s continental climate, where daytime solar heating builds on seasonal warming after May averages near 22°C, absent strong frontal systems or cloud cover that could suppress maxima. Recent observations show variable conditions through June 14 with isolated showers and highs around 22–24°C, but clearing skies and stable high pressure support modest further warming without extreme heat advection. Model consensus across sources remains tight within the 24–27°C band, with limited spread explaining the concentrated trader probabilities and low odds on outliers. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on June 15?
25°C 45%
26°C 27%
24°C 24%
23°C 4.0%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
24%
25°C
45%
26°C
27%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 45%
26°C 27%
24°C 24%
23°C 4.0%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
24%
25°C
45%
26°C
27%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models for Ankara on June 15, 2026, center on a high near 25–26°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's top-implied outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer climatology for the region’s continental climate, where daytime solar heating builds on seasonal warming after May averages near 22°C, absent strong frontal systems or cloud cover that could suppress maxima. Recent observations show variable conditions through June 14 with isolated showers and highs around 22–24°C, but clearing skies and stable high pressure support modest further warming without extreme heat advection. Model consensus across sources remains tight within the 24–27°C band, with limited spread explaining the concentrated trader probabilities and low odds on outliers. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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