**Short-range ensemble forecasts from models such as the ECMWF and GFS currently cluster Shanghai’s June 17 maximum near 28–29°C, producing the near-even market split between those two bins.** Cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the advancing Meiyu frontal zone are limiting daytime heating, while Shanghai’s urban heat island effect and light southerly flow add modest warmth. Slight differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture account for the tight probability distribution across 27–31°C outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next China Meteorological Administration and NCEP model runs for any shift in the 24–48-hour window, as even modest changes in precipitation timing can move the official maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 17?
28°C 30%
29°C 30%
30°C 14.5%
27°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-17
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
12%
28°C
30%
29°C
30%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 30%
29°C 30%
30°C 14.5%
27°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-17
23°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
24°C
$10 交易量
1%
25°C
$30 交易量
1%
26°C
$180 交易量
2%
27°C
$602 交易量
12%
28°C
$5 交易量
30%
29°C
$116 交易量
30%
30°C
$0 交易量
15%
31°C
$0 交易量
5%
32°C
$0 交易量
3%
33°C or higher
$30 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-range ensemble forecasts from models such as the ECMWF and GFS currently cluster Shanghai’s June 17 maximum near 28–29°C, producing the near-even market split between those two bins.**
Cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the advancing Meiyu frontal zone are limiting daytime heating, while Shanghai’s urban heat island effect and light southerly flow add modest warmth. Slight differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture account for the tight probability distribution across 27–31°C outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next China Meteorological Administration and NCEP model runs for any shift in the 24–48-hour window, as even modest changes in precipitation timing can move the official maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$939结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-range ensemble forecasts from models such as the ECMWF and GFS currently cluster Shanghai’s June 17 maximum near 28–29°C, producing the near-even market split between those two bins.**
Cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the advancing Meiyu frontal zone are limiting daytime heating, while Shanghai’s urban heat island effect and light southerly flow add modest warmth. Slight differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture account for the tight probability distribution across 27–31°C outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next China Meteorological Administration and NCEP model runs for any shift in the 24–48-hour window, as even modest changes in precipitation timing can move the official maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$939结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET**Short-range ensemble forecasts from models such as the ECMWF and GFS currently cluster Shanghai’s June 17 maximum near 28–29°C, producing the near-even market split between those two bins.** Cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the advancing Meiyu frontal zone are limiting daytime heating, while Shanghai’s urban heat island effect and light southerly flow add modest warmth. Slight differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture account for the tight probability distribution across 27–31°C outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next China Meteorological Administration and NCEP model runs for any shift in the 24–48-hour window, as even modest changes in precipitation timing can move the official maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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