Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET place Madrid’s June 17 maximum near 34–36 °C, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A persistent subtropical ridge is delivering clear skies and light southeasterly flow, favoring modest daytime warming above the June climatological average of 28–30 °C. Small differences among leading probabilities hinge on unresolved details in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance issued over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日马德里气温最高？
6月17日马德里气温最高？
35°C 35%
34°C 26%
36°C 23%
33°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-06-17
32°C或以下
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
26%
35°C
35%
36°C
23%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C或更高
<1%
35°C 35%
34°C 26%
36°C 23%
33°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-06-17
32°C或以下
$63 交易量
3%
33°C
$5 交易量
6%
34°C
$95 交易量
26%
35°C
$63 交易量
35%
36°C
$62 交易量
23%
37°C
$30 交易量
4%
38°C
$7 交易量
3%
39°C
$41 交易量
1%
40°C
$240 交易量
1%
41°C
$5 交易量
<1%
42°C或更高
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET place Madrid’s June 17 maximum near 34–36 °C, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A persistent subtropical ridge is delivering clear skies and light southeasterly flow, favoring modest daytime warming above the June climatological average of 28–30 °C. Small differences among leading probabilities hinge on unresolved details in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance issued over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$576结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET place Madrid’s June 17 maximum near 34–36 °C, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A persistent subtropical ridge is delivering clear skies and light southeasterly flow, favoring modest daytime warming above the June climatological average of 28–30 °C. Small differences among leading probabilities hinge on unresolved details in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance issued over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$576结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET place Madrid’s June 17 maximum near 34–36 °C, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A persistent subtropical ridge is delivering clear skies and light southeasterly flow, favoring modest daytime warming above the June climatological average of 28–30 °C. Small differences among leading probabilities hinge on unresolved details in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance issued over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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