Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to a daytime maximum of 17°C in Warsaw on June 15 under mostly overcast skies with light rain or thundery showers and moderate westerly winds. This positions 17°C as the slight market favorite over 18°C because persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing limit surface heating, while any earlier clearing could allow modest additional warming. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of an incoming Atlantic trough, which advects cooler maritime air, variable low-level moisture affecting the timing of showers, and the urban heat island effect in Warsaw that can add 1°C locally under weak winds. Ensemble model spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between these two outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日华沙最高气温？
6月15日华沙最高气温？
17°C 42%
18°C 42%
16°C 9%
19°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
42%
18°C
42%
19°C
8%
20°C或更高
3%
17°C 42%
18°C 42%
16°C 9%
19°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
10°C或以下
$605 交易量
<1%
11°C
$249 交易量
<1%
12°C
$250 交易量
<1%
13°C
$245 交易量
<1%
14°C
$575 交易量
1%
15°C
$713 交易量
2%
16°C
$837 交易量
9%
17°C
$494 交易量
42%
18°C
$1,083 交易量
42%
19°C
$308 交易量
8%
20°C或更高
$1,133 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to a daytime maximum of 17°C in Warsaw on June 15 under mostly overcast skies with light rain or thundery showers and moderate westerly winds. This positions 17°C as the slight market favorite over 18°C because persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing limit surface heating, while any earlier clearing could allow modest additional warming. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of an incoming Atlantic trough, which advects cooler maritime air, variable low-level moisture affecting the timing of showers, and the urban heat island effect in Warsaw that can add 1°C locally under weak winds. Ensemble model spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$6,384结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to a daytime maximum of 17°C in Warsaw on June 15 under mostly overcast skies with light rain or thundery showers and moderate westerly winds. This positions 17°C as the slight market favorite over 18°C because persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing limit surface heating, while any earlier clearing could allow modest additional warming. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of an incoming Atlantic trough, which advects cooler maritime air, variable low-level moisture affecting the timing of showers, and the urban heat island effect in Warsaw that can add 1°C locally under weak winds. Ensemble model spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,384结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to a daytime maximum of 17°C in Warsaw on June 15 under mostly overcast skies with light rain or thundery showers and moderate westerly winds. This positions 17°C as the slight market favorite over 18°C because persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing limit surface heating, while any earlier clearing could allow modest additional warming. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of an incoming Atlantic trough, which advects cooler maritime air, variable low-level moisture affecting the timing of showers, and the urban heat island effect in Warsaw that can add 1°C locally under weak winds. Ensemble model spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between these two outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题