Latest short-term forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16 most likely in the 27–29°C range, driven by increased cloud cover and moisture from the East Asian monsoon suppressing daytime heating. In Chengdu’s subtropical climate, typical mid-June highs average 28–30°C, but recent observational trends and ensemble guidance show persistent overcast conditions limiting solar insolation and potential for light rain, which aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C or below (38%) and 28°C (24.5%). NOAA and regional model consensus highlight steering patterns favoring stable, humid air masses rather than clear-sky intensification, with low odds for extremes above 32°C reflecting historical rarity this early in the season and minimal heat advection signals. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
27°C或以下 39%
28°C 26%
29°C 17%
30°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
27°C或以下
39%
28°C
26%
29°C
17%
30°C
12%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
27°C或以下 39%
28°C 26%
29°C 17%
30°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
27°C或以下
$295 交易量
39%
28°C
$220 交易量
26%
29°C
$56 交易量
17%
30°C
$0 交易量
12%
31°C
$298 交易量
5%
32°C
$30 交易量
4%
33°C
$502 交易量
1%
34°C
$672 交易量
<1%
35°C
$622 交易量
<1%
36°C
$651 交易量
<1%
37°C或更高
$873 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-term forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16 most likely in the 27–29°C range, driven by increased cloud cover and moisture from the East Asian monsoon suppressing daytime heating. In Chengdu’s subtropical climate, typical mid-June highs average 28–30°C, but recent observational trends and ensemble guidance show persistent overcast conditions limiting solar insolation and potential for light rain, which aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C or below (38%) and 28°C (24.5%). NOAA and regional model consensus highlight steering patterns favoring stable, humid air masses rather than clear-sky intensification, with low odds for extremes above 32°C reflecting historical rarity this early in the season and minimal heat advection signals. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$4,204结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-term forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16 most likely in the 27–29°C range, driven by increased cloud cover and moisture from the East Asian monsoon suppressing daytime heating. In Chengdu’s subtropical climate, typical mid-June highs average 28–30°C, but recent observational trends and ensemble guidance show persistent overcast conditions limiting solar insolation and potential for light rain, which aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C or below (38%) and 28°C (24.5%). NOAA and regional model consensus highlight steering patterns favoring stable, humid air masses rather than clear-sky intensification, with low odds for extremes above 32°C reflecting historical rarity this early in the season and minimal heat advection signals. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,204结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETLatest short-term forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16 most likely in the 27–29°C range, driven by increased cloud cover and moisture from the East Asian monsoon suppressing daytime heating. In Chengdu’s subtropical climate, typical mid-June highs average 28–30°C, but recent observational trends and ensemble guidance show persistent overcast conditions limiting solar insolation and potential for light rain, which aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C or below (38%) and 28°C (24.5%). NOAA and regional model consensus highlight steering patterns favoring stable, humid air masses rather than clear-sky intensification, with low odds for extremes above 32°C reflecting historical rarity this early in the season and minimal heat advection signals. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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