Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum temperature of exactly 28°C for Shanghai on June 10, supported by stable atmospheric conditions, moderate humidity, and typical early-summer steering patterns that constrain afternoon heating. This aligns with climatological norms for the region in early June, where average highs range from 27–29°C based on long-term observational data. Traders have converged on this outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the precision of short-range model consensus ahead of resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected convective activity, shifts in regional pressure gradients, or revised observational measurements that push the recorded high outside the 28°C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 10?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$163,984 交易量
$163,984 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$163,984 交易量
$163,984 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum temperature of exactly 28°C for Shanghai on June 10, supported by stable atmospheric conditions, moderate humidity, and typical early-summer steering patterns that constrain afternoon heating. This aligns with climatological norms for the region in early June, where average highs range from 27–29°C based on long-term observational data. Traders have converged on this outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the precision of short-range model consensus ahead of resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected convective activity, shifts in regional pressure gradients, or revised observational measurements that push the recorded high outside the 28°C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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