Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models show moderate rain and showers expected on June 10, 2026, suppressing daytime highs to the 28–29°C range amid typical early-summer humidity and monsoon influences. This aligns with the market’s strongest implied probability on 29°C, followed by 28°C, as recent model runs indicate cloud cover and precipitation will limit solar heating compared to drier June climatology averages near 31°C. Seasonal guidance notes above-normal temperatures overall for June–August, yet localized convective activity and possible thunderstorm development provide the key near-term cooling mechanism. Updated observations and evening model consensus will determine whether any late-day clearing pushes readings to 30°C or holds them lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月10日香港气温最高?
29°C 57%
28°C 18%
30°C 7.3%
31°C 3.1%
$170,308 交易量
$170,308 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
18%
29°C
57%
30°C
7%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
29°C 57%
28°C 18%
30°C 7.3%
31°C 3.1%
$170,308 交易量
$170,308 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
18%
29°C
57%
30°C
7%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models show moderate rain and showers expected on June 10, 2026, suppressing daytime highs to the 28–29°C range amid typical early-summer humidity and monsoon influences. This aligns with the market’s strongest implied probability on 29°C, followed by 28°C, as recent model runs indicate cloud cover and precipitation will limit solar heating compared to drier June climatology averages near 31°C. Seasonal guidance notes above-normal temperatures overall for June–August, yet localized convective activity and possible thunderstorm development provide the key near-term cooling mechanism. Updated observations and evening model consensus will determine whether any late-day clearing pushes readings to 30°C or holds them lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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