Traders have converged on a 24°C high for Istanbul on June 12, reflecting the latest consensus from regional forecast models and observational data indicating stable conditions under a high-pressure system with minimal diurnal variation. Official meteorological guidance shows daytime maxima holding near this level due to moderate northerly flow and limited moisture, aligning with climatological norms for mid-June in the region where daily highs typically range 22–26°C. This near-certain market positioning rests on verified model runs and surface observations rather than projections. Only an unexpected shift in local wind patterns or measurement discrepancies at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before final reporting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 12?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$33,174 交易量
$33,174 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$33,174 交易量
$33,174 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 10, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Traders have converged on a 24°C high for Istanbul on June 12, reflecting the latest consensus from regional forecast models and observational data indicating stable conditions under a high-pressure system with minimal diurnal variation. Official meteorological guidance shows daytime maxima holding near this level due to moderate northerly flow and limited moisture, aligning with climatological norms for mid-June in the region where daily highs typically range 22–26°C. This near-certain market positioning rests on verified model runs and surface observations rather than projections. Only an unexpected shift in local wind patterns or measurement discrepancies at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before final reporting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题