Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum near 31°C on June 12, 2026, driven by a persistent warm air mass and clear skies favoring strong daytime heating. This aligns with observed trends showing temperatures 6–8°C above seasonal normals for early June, consistent with recent model runs emphasizing southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus at 100% for exactly 31°C reflects high confidence in official measurements meeting that threshold, though minor variations in station siting or timing of peak readings could shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction. Updated observational data later in the day remains the key variable to monitor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on June 12?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$56,061 交易量
$56,061 交易量
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$56,061 交易量
$56,061 交易量
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 10, 2026, 1:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum near 31°C on June 12, 2026, driven by a persistent warm air mass and clear skies favoring strong daytime heating. This aligns with observed trends showing temperatures 6–8°C above seasonal normals for early June, consistent with recent model runs emphasizing southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus at 100% for exactly 31°C reflects high confidence in official measurements meeting that threshold, though minor variations in station siting or timing of peak readings could shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction. Updated observational data later in the day remains the key variable to monitor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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