Forecast models from European meteorological agencies converged on a 34°C daily maximum for Madrid on June 12, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies that maximize solar heating during peak insolation hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach the low 30s Celsius, and recent ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value. Official observations through midday support the outcome, with minimal convective activity expected to alter surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement, though an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a shift in northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold before evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on June 12?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 12?
34°C 100.0%
30°C或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$92,221 交易量
$92,221 交易量
2026-06-12
30°C或以下
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
30°C或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$92,221 交易量
$92,221 交易量
2026-06-12
30°C或以下
$609 交易量
否
31°C
$682 交易量
否
32°C
$5,655 交易量
否
33°C
$25,008 交易量
否
34°C
$33,669 交易量
是
35°C
$13,536 交易量
否
36°C
$8,158 交易量
否
37°C
$2,928 交易量
No
38°C
$700 交易量
No
39°C
$317 交易量
No
40°C or higher
$958 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological agencies converged on a 34°C daily maximum for Madrid on June 12, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies that maximize solar heating during peak insolation hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach the low 30s Celsius, and recent ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value. Official observations through midday support the outcome, with minimal convective activity expected to alter surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement, though an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a shift in northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
交易量
$92,221结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological agencies converged on a 34°C daily maximum for Madrid on June 12, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies that maximize solar heating during peak insolation hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach the low 30s Celsius, and recent ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value. Official observations through midday support the outcome, with minimal convective activity expected to alter surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement, though an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a shift in northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$92,221结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Forecast models from European meteorological agencies converged on a 34°C daily maximum for Madrid on June 12, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies that maximize solar heating during peak insolation hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach the low 30s Celsius, and recent ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value. Official observations through midday support the outcome, with minimal convective activity expected to alter surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement, though an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a shift in northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold before evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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