Reliable numerical weather prediction models, including those from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF, have converged on a daytime maximum of 29°C in Ankara for June 12 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light westerly flow. Surface observations through midday confirm steady warming from overnight lows near 15–18°C, consistent with climatological norms for early June when solar insolation peaks and soil moisture remains moderate. This strong model consensus and real-time data alignment underpin the market's near-certain positioning at 29°C. A realistic shift could occur only if an unanticipated shortwave trough increases cloud cover or triggers convective cooling, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before peak heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on June 12?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$54,476 交易量
$54,476 交易量
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$54,476 交易量
$54,476 交易量
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Reliable numerical weather prediction models, including those from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF, have converged on a daytime maximum of 29°C in Ankara for June 12 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light westerly flow. Surface observations through midday confirm steady warming from overnight lows near 15–18°C, consistent with climatological norms for early June when solar insolation peaks and soil moisture remains moderate. This strong model consensus and real-time data alignment underpin the market's near-certain positioning at 29°C. A realistic shift could occur only if an unanticipated shortwave trough increases cloud cover or triggers convective cooling, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before peak heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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