Official observations from New York City weather stations on June 10, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 82–83 °F, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service data confirmed this value under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited afternoon mixing and allowed efficient surface heating without exceeding seasonal norms for early June. Model guidance issued the prior evening aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision once verified reports were released. Only an unexpected station calibration error or post-hoc quality-control adjustment could reopen other temperature ranges, an outcome that remains statistically remote given multiple independent sensors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月10日纽约市最高气温？
6月10日纽约市最高气温？
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$136,179 交易量
$136,179 交易量
2026-06-10
71°F或以下
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
是
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90°F或更高
否
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$136,179 交易量
$136,179 交易量
2026-06-10
71°F或以下
$1,610 交易量
否
72-73°F
$4,985 交易量
否
74-75°F
$5,367 交易量
否
76-77°F
$11,471 交易量
否
78-79°F
$14,194 交易量
否
80-81°F
$14,885 交易量
否
82-83°F
$20,403 交易量
是
84-85°F
$25,512 交易量
否
86-87°F
$23,041 交易量
否
88-89°F
$8,523 交易量
否
90°F或更高
$6,188 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from New York City weather stations on June 10, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 82–83 °F, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service data confirmed this value under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited afternoon mixing and allowed efficient surface heating without exceeding seasonal norms for early June. Model guidance issued the prior evening aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision once verified reports were released. Only an unexpected station calibration error or post-hoc quality-control adjustment could reopen other temperature ranges, an outcome that remains statistically remote given multiple independent sensors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 8, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
交易量
$136,179结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 11:03 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from New York City weather stations on June 10, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 82–83 °F, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service data confirmed this value under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited afternoon mixing and allowed efficient surface heating without exceeding seasonal norms for early June. Model guidance issued the prior evening aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision once verified reports were released. Only an unexpected station calibration error or post-hoc quality-control adjustment could reopen other temperature ranges, an outcome that remains statistically remote given multiple independent sensors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$136,179结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 11:03 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from New York City weather stations on June 10, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 82–83 °F, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service data confirmed this value under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited afternoon mixing and allowed efficient surface heating without exceeding seasonal norms for early June. Model guidance issued the prior evening aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision once verified reports were released. Only an unexpected station calibration error or post-hoc quality-control adjustment could reopen other temperature ranges, an outcome that remains statistically remote given multiple independent sensors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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