Recent NWS and ensemble model guidance places Monday’s NYC high in the upper 70s to low 80s, producing nearly even market-implied odds between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins. Subtle differences in the strength and timing of onshore flow and any weak frontal passage create the spread; stronger sea-breeze circulation or earlier cloud cover would cap readings near 78 °F, while clearer skies and slightly warmer boundary-layer air support low-80s readings. Historical June variability around the 80 °F climatological normal and the narrow 24-hour forecast window keep trader consensus tightly clustered without a dominant outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日纽约市最高气温？
6月15日纽约市最高气温？
78-79°F 35%
80-81°F 35%
82-83°F 19.1%
76-77°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
<1%
78-79°F 35%
80-81°F 35%
82-83°F 19.1%
76-77°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
69°F or below
$45 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$28 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$47 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$73 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$510 交易量
8%
78-79°F
$857 交易量
35%
80-81°F
$369 交易量
35%
82-83°F
$282 交易量
19%
84-85°F
$376 交易量
5%
86-87°F
$36 交易量
1%
88°F或更高
$646 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and ensemble model guidance places Monday’s NYC high in the upper 70s to low 80s, producing nearly even market-implied odds between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins. Subtle differences in the strength and timing of onshore flow and any weak frontal passage create the spread; stronger sea-breeze circulation or earlier cloud cover would cap readings near 78 °F, while clearer skies and slightly warmer boundary-layer air support low-80s readings. Historical June variability around the 80 °F climatological normal and the narrow 24-hour forecast window keep trader consensus tightly clustered without a dominant outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$3,101结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and ensemble model guidance places Monday’s NYC high in the upper 70s to low 80s, producing nearly even market-implied odds between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins. Subtle differences in the strength and timing of onshore flow and any weak frontal passage create the spread; stronger sea-breeze circulation or earlier cloud cover would cap readings near 78 °F, while clearer skies and slightly warmer boundary-layer air support low-80s readings. Historical June variability around the 80 °F climatological normal and the narrow 24-hour forecast window keep trader consensus tightly clustered without a dominant outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,101结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent NWS and ensemble model guidance places Monday’s NYC high in the upper 70s to low 80s, producing nearly even market-implied odds between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins. Subtle differences in the strength and timing of onshore flow and any weak frontal passage create the spread; stronger sea-breeze circulation or earlier cloud cover would cap readings near 78 °F, while clearer skies and slightly warmer boundary-layer air support low-80s readings. Historical June variability around the 80 °F climatological normal and the narrow 24-hour forecast window keep trader consensus tightly clustered without a dominant outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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