Current meteorological forecasts for Beijing on June 11 point to a daytime maximum near 31–32°C under mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly winds, aligning with the market's leading outcomes. This reflects typical early-June climatology, where average highs reach 30–32°C amid increasing solar radiation and minimal cloud cover, though model runs show minor variability tied to exact timing of any localized heating or brief moisture influx. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes stable high-pressure dominance, with low precipitation risk supporting sustained warmth but limiting extreme spikes above 33°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus projections heavily against historical June peaks, which rarely exceed 34°C this early in the month without stronger advection. Updated model data and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine resolution around the 31°C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on June 11?
31°C 45%
32°C 27%
30°C 21%
33°C 10%
$47,638 交易量
$47,638 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
21%
31°C
45%
32°C
27%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
32°C 27%
30°C 21%
33°C 10%
$47,638 交易量
$47,638 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
21%
31°C
45%
32°C
27%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological forecasts for Beijing on June 11 point to a daytime maximum near 31–32°C under mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly winds, aligning with the market's leading outcomes. This reflects typical early-June climatology, where average highs reach 30–32°C amid increasing solar radiation and minimal cloud cover, though model runs show minor variability tied to exact timing of any localized heating or brief moisture influx. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes stable high-pressure dominance, with low precipitation risk supporting sustained warmth but limiting extreme spikes above 33°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus projections heavily against historical June peaks, which rarely exceed 34°C this early in the month without stronger advection. Updated model data and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine resolution around the 31°C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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