Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 13 clustered near 16–17 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling under early-summer high pressure. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 17 °C leads at 29.5 % implied probability and 16 °C follows at 26 %. Historical June climatology shows average overnight lows near 18 °C, but current guidance indicates slightly enhanced cooling from drier air masses. Key upcoming catalysts include the next KMA short-range update and fresh ECMWF/GFS runs, which could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind speeds increase.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月13日首尔最低气温？
6月13日首尔最低气温？
17°C 30%
16°C 26%
18°C 20%
21°C或以上 19%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
10%
16°C
26%
17°C
30%
18°C
20%
19°C
12%
20°C
9%
21°C或以上
19%
17°C 30%
16°C 26%
18°C 20%
21°C或以上 19%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
11°C或以下
$201 交易量
<1%
12°C
$0 交易量
<1%
13°C
$20 交易量
1%
14°C
$0 交易量
9%
15°C
$16 交易量
10%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
30%
18°C
$16 交易量
20%
19°C
$0 交易量
12%
20°C
$0 交易量
9%
21°C或以上
$20 交易量
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 13 clustered near 16–17 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling under early-summer high pressure. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 17 °C leads at 29.5 % implied probability and 16 °C follows at 26 %. Historical June climatology shows average overnight lows near 18 °C, but current guidance indicates slightly enhanced cooling from drier air masses. Key upcoming catalysts include the next KMA short-range update and fresh ECMWF/GFS runs, which could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind speeds increase.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$273结束日期
2026-06-13市场开放时间
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 13 clustered near 16–17 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling under early-summer high pressure. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 17 °C leads at 29.5 % implied probability and 16 °C follows at 26 %. Historical June climatology shows average overnight lows near 18 °C, but current guidance indicates slightly enhanced cooling from drier air masses. Key upcoming catalysts include the next KMA short-range update and fresh ECMWF/GFS runs, which could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind speeds increase.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$273结束日期
2026-06-13市场开放时间
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETRecent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 13 clustered near 16–17 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling under early-summer high pressure. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 17 °C leads at 29.5 % implied probability and 16 °C follows at 26 %. Historical June climatology shows average overnight lows near 18 °C, but current guidance indicates slightly enhanced cooling from drier air masses. Key upcoming catalysts include the next KMA short-range update and fresh ECMWF/GFS runs, which could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind speeds increase.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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