Recent model consensus and climatological norms for early June in the Sichuan Basin point to a daily high near 29–30°C for Chengdu on June 11, with the tight market spread reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of monsoon moisture, and localized urban effects. Persistent high humidity and light winds typical of the season moderate daytime heating, while any earlier-than-expected convective activity or thicker stratus could cap temperatures at the lower end of that range. Official observations from stations such as Chengdu Shuangliu will determine the exact maximum under standard 2-meter shelter protocols. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24 hours remain the key variable that could shift the narrow 45–58% combined probability band between 29°C and 30°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 11?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 11?
30°C 32%
29°C 25%
28°C 17%
31°C 16%
最新
$18,566 交易量
最新
$18,566 交易量
2026-06-11
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
17%
29°C
25%
30°C
32%
31°C
16%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 32%
29°C 25%
28°C 17%
31°C 16%
最新
$18,566 交易量
最新
$18,566 交易量
2026-06-11
26°C or below
$5,393 交易量
<1%
27°C
$891 交易量
6%
28°C
$1,611 交易量
17%
29°C
$714 交易量
25%
30°C
$686 交易量
32%
31°C
$365 交易量
16%
32°C
$1,030 交易量
7%
33°C
$877 交易量
1%
34°C
$2,643 交易量
<1%
35°C
$2,375 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$2,116 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and climatological norms for early June in the Sichuan Basin point to a daily high near 29–30°C for Chengdu on June 11, with the tight market spread reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of monsoon moisture, and localized urban effects. Persistent high humidity and light winds typical of the season moderate daytime heating, while any earlier-than-expected convective activity or thicker stratus could cap temperatures at the lower end of that range. Official observations from stations such as Chengdu Shuangliu will determine the exact maximum under standard 2-meter shelter protocols. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24 hours remain the key variable that could shift the narrow 45–58% combined probability band between 29°C and 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
交易量
$18,566结束日期
2026-06-11市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and climatological norms for early June in the Sichuan Basin point to a daily high near 29–30°C for Chengdu on June 11, with the tight market spread reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of monsoon moisture, and localized urban effects. Persistent high humidity and light winds typical of the season moderate daytime heating, while any earlier-than-expected convective activity or thicker stratus could cap temperatures at the lower end of that range. Official observations from stations such as Chengdu Shuangliu will determine the exact maximum under standard 2-meter shelter protocols. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24 hours remain the key variable that could shift the narrow 45–58% combined probability band between 29°C and 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,566结束日期
2026-06-11市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ETRecent model consensus and climatological norms for early June in the Sichuan Basin point to a daily high near 29–30°C for Chengdu on June 11, with the tight market spread reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of monsoon moisture, and localized urban effects. Persistent high humidity and light winds typical of the season moderate daytime heating, while any earlier-than-expected convective activity or thicker stratus could cap temperatures at the lower end of that range. Official observations from stations such as Chengdu Shuangliu will determine the exact maximum under standard 2-meter shelter protocols. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24 hours remain the key variable that could shift the narrow 45–58% combined probability band between 29°C and 30°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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