Traders assign near-certainty to a 30°C high in Wuhan on June 10, reflecting the latest meteorological model consensus under stable atmospheric conditions with limited moisture and moderate southerly flow. Official guidance points to a daytime peak aligning precisely with this threshold, consistent with seasonal June averages near 31°C and minimal recent variability in regional pressure patterns. This positioning draws from real-time observational data showing morning temperatures in the mid-20s rising steadily toward the expected maximum. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include late-day convective development, shifts in wind direction, or revisions in final station readings that push the recorded high to 31°C or hold it at 29°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 10?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$59,130 交易量
$59,130 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$59,130 交易量
$59,130 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders assign near-certainty to a 30°C high in Wuhan on June 10, reflecting the latest meteorological model consensus under stable atmospheric conditions with limited moisture and moderate southerly flow. Official guidance points to a daytime peak aligning precisely with this threshold, consistent with seasonal June averages near 31°C and minimal recent variability in regional pressure patterns. This positioning draws from real-time observational data showing morning temperatures in the mid-20s rising steadily toward the expected maximum. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include late-day convective development, shifts in wind direction, or revisions in final station readings that push the recorded high to 31°C or hold it at 29°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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