The near-certain 100% market-implied probability on 78–79°F reflects the official high of 79°F recorded at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on June 10, 2026, per National Weather Service observations. Clear skies and a dry, warming air mass suppressed the typical June marine layer and coastal fog, allowing daytime temperatures to exceed the 67–70°F seasonal average under light westerly flow. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts issued in the preceding days projecting a high near 75–77°F that verified slightly warmer amid stable high pressure. Resolution hinges on the finalized Climatological Report (Daily) from the primary recording station; minor adjustments in post-processing or use of an alternate site remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence from current data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 10?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 10?
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$84,970 交易量
$84,970 交易量
2026-06-10
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$84,970 交易量
$84,970 交易量
2026-06-10
71°F or below
$9,543 交易量
No
72-73°F
$8,245 交易量
No
74-75°F
$7,528 交易量
No
76-77°F
$12,572 交易量
No
78-79°F
$13,678 交易量
Yes
80-81°F
$14,725 交易量
No
82-83°F
$11,933 交易量
No
84-85°F
$1,705 交易量
No
86-87°F
$918 交易量
No
88-89°F
$2,707 交易量
No
90°F or higher
$1,416 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The near-certain 100% market-implied probability on 78–79°F reflects the official high of 79°F recorded at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on June 10, 2026, per National Weather Service observations. Clear skies and a dry, warming air mass suppressed the typical June marine layer and coastal fog, allowing daytime temperatures to exceed the 67–70°F seasonal average under light westerly flow. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts issued in the preceding days projecting a high near 75–77°F that verified slightly warmer amid stable high pressure. Resolution hinges on the finalized Climatological Report (Daily) from the primary recording station; minor adjustments in post-processing or use of an alternate site remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence from current data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ET
交易量
$84,970结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The near-certain 100% market-implied probability on 78–79°F reflects the official high of 79°F recorded at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on June 10, 2026, per National Weather Service observations. Clear skies and a dry, warming air mass suppressed the typical June marine layer and coastal fog, allowing daytime temperatures to exceed the 67–70°F seasonal average under light westerly flow. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts issued in the preceding days projecting a high near 75–77°F that verified slightly warmer amid stable high pressure. Resolution hinges on the finalized Climatological Report (Daily) from the primary recording station; minor adjustments in post-processing or use of an alternate site remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence from current data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$84,970结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The near-certain 100% market-implied probability on 78–79°F reflects the official high of 79°F recorded at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on June 10, 2026, per National Weather Service observations. Clear skies and a dry, warming air mass suppressed the typical June marine layer and coastal fog, allowing daytime temperatures to exceed the 67–70°F seasonal average under light westerly flow. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts issued in the preceding days projecting a high near 75–77°F that verified slightly warmer amid stable high pressure. Resolution hinges on the finalized Climatological Report (Daily) from the primary recording station; minor adjustments in post-processing or use of an alternate site remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence from current data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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