Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency establish a 26°C maximum for Tokyo on June 11, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, consistent with early June climatology for the Kanto region and daily normals near 25.8°C, underpin this outlook, with recent model runs showing limited variability in daytime highs. Traders view the official guidance as highly reliable given the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-term temperature forecasts. Only substantial deviations in actual station measurements, such as localized urban heat effects or unexpected frontal shifts, could realistically shift the recorded high away from 26°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 11?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 11?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$128,298 交易量
$128,298 交易量
2026-06-11
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$128,298 交易量
$128,298 交易量
2026-06-11
19°C or below
$623 交易量
No
20°C
$712 交易量
No
21°C
$1,772 交易量
No
22°C
$12,165 交易量
No
23°C
$10,994 交易量
No
24°C
$16,393 交易量
No
25°C
$15,969 交易量
No
26°C
$21,278 交易量
Yes
27°C
$17,840 交易量
No
28°C
$19,592 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$10,959 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency establish a 26°C maximum for Tokyo on June 11, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, consistent with early June climatology for the Kanto region and daily normals near 25.8°C, underpin this outlook, with recent model runs showing limited variability in daytime highs. Traders view the official guidance as highly reliable given the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-term temperature forecasts. Only substantial deviations in actual station measurements, such as localized urban heat effects or unexpected frontal shifts, could realistically shift the recorded high away from 26°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 9, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
交易量
$128,298结束日期
2026-06-11市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 12:26 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency establish a 26°C maximum for Tokyo on June 11, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, consistent with early June climatology for the Kanto region and daily normals near 25.8°C, underpin this outlook, with recent model runs showing limited variability in daytime highs. Traders view the official guidance as highly reliable given the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-term temperature forecasts. Only substantial deviations in actual station measurements, such as localized urban heat effects or unexpected frontal shifts, could realistically shift the recorded high away from 26°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$128,298结束日期
2026-06-11市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 12:26 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency establish a 26°C maximum for Tokyo on June 11, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, consistent with early June climatology for the Kanto region and daily normals near 25.8°C, underpin this outlook, with recent model runs showing limited variability in daytime highs. Traders view the official guidance as highly reliable given the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-term temperature forecasts. Only substantial deviations in actual station measurements, such as localized urban heat effects or unexpected frontal shifts, could realistically shift the recorded high away from 26°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题