Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on June 11 project a daytime high of 23–26°C under overcast skies with occasional showers, well below the month’s typical 30–33°C averages driven by seasonal humidity and solar heating. This cooler pattern stems from persistent cloud cover limiting daytime warming and moderating wind speeds, aligning closely with real-time observations showing limited intensification potential. Market-implied odds heavily favor 24°C as the peak, reflecting trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions, while probabilities drop sharply beyond 26°C absent any rapid clearing or model shifts. Updated briefings from monitoring agencies remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月11日台北气温最高?
24°C 71.4%
25°C 17%
26°C 11%
27°C 1.1%
$42,459 交易量
$42,459 交易量
23℃或以下
<1%
24°C
71%
25°C
17%
26°C
11%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
24°C 71.4%
25°C 17%
26°C 11%
27°C 1.1%
$42,459 交易量
$42,459 交易量
23℃或以下
<1%
24°C
71%
25°C
17%
26°C
11%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on June 11 project a daytime high of 23–26°C under overcast skies with occasional showers, well below the month’s typical 30–33°C averages driven by seasonal humidity and solar heating. This cooler pattern stems from persistent cloud cover limiting daytime warming and moderating wind speeds, aligning closely with real-time observations showing limited intensification potential. Market-implied odds heavily favor 24°C as the peak, reflecting trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions, while probabilities drop sharply beyond 26°C absent any rapid clearing or model shifts. Updated briefings from monitoring agencies remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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