Recent National Weather Service and European model runs for São Paulo indicate a high near 20–21 °C on June 12 under a cool, moist airmass with light northwesterly flow and possible light rain. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer June climatology, keeping the most likely maximum in the narrow 20–22 °C window that currently dominates trader pricing. Slight differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer moisture among ensembles create the near-even split between the 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes, while any unexpected clearing could briefly push readings to 22 °C. Updated model guidance and observational data ahead of the daily maximum will be the next key inputs for refining these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月12日圣保罗的最高温度？
6月12日圣保罗的最高温度？
20°C 35%
21°C 34%
22°C 16%
19°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-12
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
12%
20°C
35%
21°C
34%
22°C
16%
23°C
8%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
20°C 35%
21°C 34%
22°C 16%
19°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-12
16°C或以下
$37 交易量
<1%
17°C
$194 交易量
2%
18°C
$71 交易量
4%
19°C
$38 交易量
12%
20°C
$152 交易量
35%
21°C
$86 交易量
34%
22°C
$84 交易量
16%
23°C
$38 交易量
8%
24°C
$47 交易量
3%
25°C
$164 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$37 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and European model runs for São Paulo indicate a high near 20–21 °C on June 12 under a cool, moist airmass with light northwesterly flow and possible light rain. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer June climatology, keeping the most likely maximum in the narrow 20–22 °C window that currently dominates trader pricing. Slight differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer moisture among ensembles create the near-even split between the 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes, while any unexpected clearing could briefly push readings to 22 °C. Updated model guidance and observational data ahead of the daily maximum will be the next key inputs for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$838结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and European model runs for São Paulo indicate a high near 20–21 °C on June 12 under a cool, moist airmass with light northwesterly flow and possible light rain. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer June climatology, keeping the most likely maximum in the narrow 20–22 °C window that currently dominates trader pricing. Slight differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer moisture among ensembles create the near-even split between the 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes, while any unexpected clearing could briefly push readings to 22 °C. Updated model guidance and observational data ahead of the daily maximum will be the next key inputs for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$838结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and European model runs for São Paulo indicate a high near 20–21 °C on June 12 under a cool, moist airmass with light northwesterly flow and possible light rain. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer June climatology, keeping the most likely maximum in the narrow 20–22 °C window that currently dominates trader pricing. Slight differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer moisture among ensembles create the near-even split between the 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes, while any unexpected clearing could briefly push readings to 22 °C. Updated model guidance and observational data ahead of the daily maximum will be the next key inputs for refining these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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